Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 2.487973 2.648155 2.818097 3.012625 3.230146 3.467078 3.746297
2026-02-08 2.194123 2.407439 2.645643 2.934138 3.277970 3.679790 4.192883
2026-02-15 2.046036 2.288094 2.567358 2.918421 3.355545 3.892858 4.621893
2026-02-22 1.924832 2.183948 2.490496 2.887361 3.399399 4.056076 4.995713
2026-03-01 1.802766 2.067130 2.385712 2.807344 3.366356 4.107621 5.215265
2026-03-08 1.695551 1.960538 2.284619 2.721266 3.313354 4.120932 5.373990
2026-03-15 1.634558 1.907003 2.245540 2.710645 3.357258 4.267839 5.744203
2026-03-22 1.580102 1.858127 2.208518 2.698461 3.395390 4.406698 6.117622
2026-03-29 1.536272 1.820175 2.182825 2.698588 3.448897 4.570812 6.553986
2026-04-05 1.519120 1.815484 2.200017 2.757936 3.591677 4.885021 7.302146
2026-04-12 1.481784 1.782145 2.176392 2.757017 3.642607 5.056237 7.819458
2026-04-19 1.485281 1.802958 2.227055 2.865670 3.870296 5.546703 9.070192
2026-04-26 1.417941 1.727901 2.144660 2.778191 3.788244 5.507118 9.242231
2026-05-03 1.357420 1.660439 2.070728 2.700285 3.717486 5.483227 9.454805
2026-05-10 1.322138 1.626037 2.041657 2.688044 3.752944 5.656657 10.170127
2026-05-17 1.284832 1.587299 2.004446 2.660644 3.759865 5.776041 10.789224
2026-05-24 1.237415 1.532796 1.942201 2.590611 3.687727 5.731825 10.968424
2026-05-31 1.191116 1.478501 1.878366 2.515042 3.600829 5.649150 11.024843
2026-06-07 1.166368 1.453824 1.856923 2.505706 3.630136 5.806808 11.820677
2026-06-14 1.142676 1.429833 1.835464 2.494991 3.655748 5.959654 12.662398
2026-06-21 1.123229 1.411248 1.821242 2.495103 3.700838 6.160407 13.748537
2026-06-28 1.118433 1.413481 1.838175 2.547256 3.847326 6.611291 15.974070
2026-07-05 1.100371 1.395823 1.824114 2.546450 3.891994 6.832507 17.470658